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Fed’s Waller Jokes Dot-Plot Forecasts Are Made With ‘Pencils That Have Big Erasers’
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller remarked that policymakers submit their interest-rate forecasts (the dot plot) with “pencils that have big erasers,” suggesting officials do not treat the projections as binding and are open to revising the way they communicate the policy outlook.
Fed's Warsh: Inflation Is Monetary Policy Driven; Housing Restrictive, Year-End Communication Review
Fed's Warsh stated that inflation is primarily determined by monetary policy and suggested current policy appears restrictive for the housing market but less so for financial markets. He also signaled a broad year-end review of Fed communication tools including the dot plot, press conferences, and policy meeting practices.
Fed's Warsh Reiterates Opposition to Forward Guidance, Favors Data-Dependent Approach
Federal Reserve official Warsh stated the central bank has removed forward guidance from its communications and will not pre-commit to a rate path, preferring to react to incoming data.
Fed’s Warsh Reaffirms Commitment to 2% Inflation Target
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated that the central bank has both the commitment and capability to bring inflation back to its 2% target, emphasizing that price stability remains the Fed's primary objective with unanimous support among officials.
Fed's Warsh: Policymakers Showed Little Conviction, Year-End Review of Communications Ahead
Fed Governor Christopher Warsh stated that policymakers displayed little conviction in their economic projections and announced a comprehensive year-end review of Fed communications, including press conferences, dot plots, and meeting formats.
Yen Falls as Fed Holds Rates, Warsh Dot Plot Signals Caution
The Japanese yen weakened against the US dollar after the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% in Kevin Warsh's first policy meeting. The USD/JPY pair rose to near 160.40 as the dot plot indicated a cautious outlook.
GBP/USD Falls as Fed Dot Plot Signals Hawkish Lean
The British pound slumped versus the dollar after the Federal Reserve held rates steady but its dot plot revealed a divided outlook, with half of policymakers projecting higher rates.
Fed Signals Shift from Cuts to Hikes, Euro Declines
The Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% in Kevin Warsh's first meeting, but markets interpreted the decision as a hawkish pivot away from future cuts toward potential rate hikes, pressuring the euro lower.
US Dollar Index Rallies as Fed Turns Hawkish Under New Chair
The US Dollar Index surged after the Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.50–3.75% but signaled a hawkish stance, particularly in the first meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh.
Gold Volatile After Fed Holds Rates, Hawkish Dots
Gold prices whipsawed after the Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, while the Summary of Economic Projections indicated inflation staying above 3%.
Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady at 3.50%-3.75% in June
The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% following its June meeting, matching market expectations.
Fed Holds Steady, 9 of 18 Officials Expect Rate Hike This Year
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive meeting, while a divided committee showed 9 out of 18 officials anticipate at least one rate hike in 2026. The central bank also lowered its GDP growth forecast and sees inflation remaining elevated.
Fed Holds Rates at 3.5-3.75% as Expected; Bitcoin Volatile
The US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 3.5-3.75%, matching market expectations. Bitcoin reacted with volatility during the first FOMC meeting chaired by new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.
Fed Holds Rates Steady at 3.50%-3.75% in June Meeting
The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% following its June meeting, matching market expectations.
US Releases Full Text of 14-Point MOU with Iran, 60-Day Negotiation Window
The US and Iran have signed a Memorandum of Understanding outlining key terms including ceasefire, sanctions relief, oil waivers, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund, triggering a 60-day window for a final deal.
USD/CHF Holds Above 200-Day SMA as Inverse Head-and-Shoulders Pattern Remains Intact
The USD/CHF pair traded steady near 0.7932 on Wednesday as traders awaited the Federal Reserve's policy decision, with the central bank expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Technical indicators show the pair remains above the 200-day simple moving average, with an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern still in play.
Gold Rises as Traders Eye Hawkish Fed Debut Under Warsh
Gold (XAU/USD) climbed 0.77% on Wednesday as the market awaits the Federal Reserve's first policy decision under Kevin Warsh, expected to hold rates steady amid inflation concerns.
UK Faces Brexit Consequences a Decade After Referendum
June 23 marks the tenth anniversary of the Brexit referendum, which led to the UK's exit from the European Union. The post highlights the ongoing economic and political consequences for the UK.
US Official Says Nuclear Issue First, Then Proxy Funding in Iran Talks
A senior US official stated that after resolving the nuclear issue, discussions will cover proxy funding. This weekend's meeting in Switzerland is critical for advancing talks with Iran.
US Official: Sanctions Relief Possible if Iran Agrees to Downblend Uranium Stockpile
A senior US official stated that sanctions relief would be permitted if a final nuclear deal is reached and Iran complies. Iran has agreed, at minimum, to destroy its enriched uranium stockpile through downblending. The sequencing of steps will be a key topic in forthcoming negotiations.
Iran Agrees to Destroy Uranium Stockpile, Cease Strait of Hormuz Threats: US Official
A senior U.S. official read out the formal text of a memorandum of understanding with Iran, stating that Iran will cease efforts to block the Strait of Hormuz and destroy its enriched uranium stockpile.
WTI Stabilizes Below $76 as Markets Assess US-Iran Deal
West Texas Intermediate crude trades near $75.70 on Wednesday, edging down 0.22% as market participants weigh the implications of a potential US-Iran agreement.
Crypto Roundup: Bitcoin Consolidation, US CBDC Ban, Hyperliquid OI Hits $10B
Bitcoin consolidates as the US bans CBDC until 2030, Hyperliquid reaches $10B in open interest, and memecoin activity plummets on Pumpfun.
UKMTO: Vessel Returns Fire, Suspect Vessels Disengage
The UK Maritime Trade Operations reports that a vessel deployed a security team and returned fire, after which suspect vessels disengaged and moved over four nautical miles away. The crew is safe.